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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 19:45:26 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Edergole's Gift
04:45 Lingfield (AW)
+44% (7.500 → 4.203)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Circuit Breaker
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Diamond Bay
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
+16.3% (3.750 → 3.137)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Circuit Breaker
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
-36.8% (2.380 → 3.257)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Edergole's Gift (44%) 04:45 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Power Cut (-309.6%) 05:20 Lingfield (AW) | 5/1 25/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
🏁 OFF NEXT →
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:30Lingfield (AW) • 1m7f169y • Class 5
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Diamond Bay (+5.21 probability points)
Weakest support: Roland Garros (-9.76 probability points)

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Mr Henry Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.21pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 1/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.21pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 16.3% • +5.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
Jockey: Mr Simon Walker
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 2/4 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (29%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/8Market avg 9/4
EVS ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ EVS ↑ 11/10 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 10/11 ↑ 3/1 ↓ EVS → EVS
PRICE MOVE
-11.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

08 May 26 | Ascot | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
03 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 6
01 Feb 26 | Market Rasen | Open: 7/2 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 6
30 Dec 25 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 2
Price change: 36.8% • -11.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: N/A
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
Jockey: Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 25/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (44%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 16/1
12/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
11th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 91.9% • -5.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/4
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. Today's market is 21% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 21.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jo Davis
Jockey: Miss Brodie Hampson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 16/1
20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 107.4% • -6.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (24%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Mr Fletcher Yarham
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (44%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 16/1
8/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

05 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 3
13 Jun 26 | Uttoxeter | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 10
23 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 3/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 7
17 Mar 26 | Wetherby | Open: 7/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 173.7% • -9.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: N/A
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Wigham
Jockey: Mr Morgan Tidman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.46pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 3/7 won (42.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 22/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.46pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 58.5% • -2.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Mr Hezekiah March(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

08 May 26 | Chester | Open: 33/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 14
23 Mar 26 | Kempton | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
10 Jan 26 | Kempton | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 31.5% • -1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Mrs Charlotte Owen(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.84pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 6/14 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 33/1
18/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.84pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

27 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
10 Jun 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 7
24 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 11/2 | Fin: 4
11 Feb 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 2/1 → Final: 3/1 | SP: 11/4 | Fin: 1
22 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 169.2% • -4.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:00Lingfield (AW) • 6f1y • Class 4
10 runners

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.94pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/11Market avg 10/11
8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6
PRICE MOVE
-5.94pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.4% • -5.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.35 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: N/A
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.75pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/31 won (29%); Open→SP 10/31 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.75pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 23.1% • -3.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harry Eustace
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/28 won (46.4%); Open→SP 11/26 won (42.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.3%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 6/1
7/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 4/9 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.6% • +1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.58pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/46 won (28.3%); Open→SP 16/46 won (34.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.4% (12/29).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.58pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.3% • +0.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 17/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/31 won (32.3%); Open→SP 10/27 won (37%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

02 Jul 26 | Nottingham | Open: 11/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 2
17 Jun 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 11/10 → Final: 9/4 | SP: 11/4 | Fin: 3
17 Apr 26 | Bath | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 98.6% • -8.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: N/A
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.23pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 7.7% • +0.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/19 won (31.6%); Open→SP 6/21 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 102.5% • -2.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Keady
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 129.4% • -1.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Mongan
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.6%)
Mid-market mover (100%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 545.7% • -4.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Micky Fenton
Jockey: Grace McEntee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

18 Jul 26 | Newmarket (July) | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
08 Jun 26 | Leicester | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
09 May 26 | Leicester | Open: 20/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 10
Price change: 49.2% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 401 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:33Lingfield (AW) • 1m4f • Class 6
10 runners

Trainer: Mark Rimell
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.64pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/9 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 66/1 → 66/1 | Avg: 66/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (40%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 10/3
11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+8.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 37.7% • +8.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1347)
Possible next price: 2/7
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.19pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (38%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ EVS ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.19pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

27 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 3
16 Mar 26 | Plumpton | Open: 7/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 4
29 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 40.4% • -7.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/5 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 9.7 and today's market has the horse trading 42% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 9.4% • -1.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 17/2
9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 12% • -1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 66/1 → 66/1 | Avg: 66/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

11 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 2
21 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
22 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 6
07 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 20/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 43.1% • -4.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.89pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (50%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 9/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.89pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 30.2% • +2.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -17.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 10/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-17.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

11 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 1
25 Mar 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 7
16 Mar 26 | Plumpton | Open: 12/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
06 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 184.1% • -17.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: N/A
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 22.0, while today's market is 52% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/31 won (29%); Open→SP 10/31 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 13.1% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 6/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Flood
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 3/4 won (75%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
11 historical matches

1/11 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 100/1 → 100/1 | Avg: 100/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 10/11Historical Drift Profile

11 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 8
08 Jul 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 8
18 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 12/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 9
05 Apr 26 | Bath | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 4
25 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 36.6% • -1.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/3
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 5 runs. The current market is 18% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 34.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lemos De Souza
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/21 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
03:33Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

27 Jul 26 | Windsor | Open: 40/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
20 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 80/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 11
06 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 550% • -7.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 50/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:08Lingfield (AW) • 1m1y • Class 6
7 runners
🟢 Needs Support (26%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/6Market avg 4/5
4/6 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 ↓ 8/11 ↑ 8/11 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 8/11 ↑ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11
PRICE MOVE
-3.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.9% • -3.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: EVS
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Marco Botti
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/44 won (31.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 3/1
7/2 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.3% • +3.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Karen Jewell
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (18.2%)
Early money horse (25%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 21.2% • +3.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. The current market is 60% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 13.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (60%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 26.9% • -2.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/15 won (20%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (71%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

06 Jul 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 4
19 May 26 | Lingfield | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 4
27 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 65.9% • -2.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 98.9% • -1.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.93pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 469.8% • -3.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:45Lingfield (AW) • 7f1y • Class 6
12 runners

Trainer: Conrad Allen
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.46pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (33%)
Late support match
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+10.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 9 previous runs.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 44% • +10.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 10–12pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 23% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 12% another 5pp (n=1104)
Possible next price: EVS
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 4 runs. The current market is 79% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 20.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 11% • +2.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 85% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 30.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is -18.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/8Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-18.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 90% • -18.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/6
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 4 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 8.4, while today's market is 41% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Luke Catton(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Early money horse (33%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/1
7/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 144.2% • -11.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: N/A
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 44% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 8.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Early money horse (40%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 16/1
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

29 Jun 26 | Windsor | Open: 16/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 8
19 May 26 | Lingfield | Open: 11/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 12
02 Mar 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 82.6% • -5.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: N/A
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 97% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 8.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Early money horse (40%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 20/1
14/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 103.5% • -5.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.75pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (18.2%)
Late money horse (33%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 22/1
10/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.75pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

30 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 9/2 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 5
19 May 26 | Lingfield | Open: 10/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 2
21 Apr 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 9/4 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 3/1 | Fin: 5
13 Apr 26 | Leicester | Open: 14/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 4
30 Dec 25 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 214.8% • -9.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: N/A
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
9 historical matches

3/9 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (40%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
47th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 15 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 6/9Historical Drift Profile

21 Jul 26 | Salisbury | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
22 Jun 26 | Windsor | Open: 15/2 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 9
26 Apr 26 | Nottingham | Open: 17/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 2
13 Apr 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 9
26 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 5
Price change: 86.1% • -3.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
40/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 8/15 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 48.5% • -1.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.79pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
10 historical matches

0/10 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 10/10Historical Drift Profile

03 Aug 26 | Windsor | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
22 Jul 26 | Leicester | Open: 11/2 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 3
22 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 5
25 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 16/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 13
27 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 87.4% • -1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Rimell
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/9 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.6%)
Best at SP (50%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

05 Aug 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 25/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 7
26 Jul 26 | Pontefract | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 11
29 Jun 26 | Windsor | Open: 22/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 66.5% • -0.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rachel Cook & John Bridger
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (29%)
04:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

05 Aug 26 | Brighton | Open: 18/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
21 Jul 26 | Salisbury | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 10
25 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 17/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
19 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 7
03 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 82.1% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/4 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 317% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 31.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:20Lingfield (AW) • 7f1y • Class 6
11 runners
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +17.57pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (63%)
Late move vs early profile
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/8Market avg 4/5
5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↓ 4/11 ↑ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6
PRICE MOVE
+17.57pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 8 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 31.5% • +17.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal BetTom
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 43% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 26% another 3pp • 17% another 5pp (n=482)
Possible next price: 6/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.20pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/30 won (13.3%); Open→SP 5/36 won (13.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (71%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 8 previous runs.
Price change: 19% • +5.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Myla Coppins(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/2
9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.65pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 29.5% • +4.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: N/A
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 1/12 won (8.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (25%)
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 11% • -1.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/11
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 17% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Keiran Burke
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/16 won (18.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Early money horse (46%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
15th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 11 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

05 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 9
27 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 8
08 Apr 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 38% • -3.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal BresBet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 5 runs. Today's market is close to its historical average compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 20/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

08 Jul 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 6
28 May 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 33/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 7
16 May 26 | Newmarket | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 34.4% • -1.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/9
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chelsea Banham
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -12.60pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/13 won (61.5%); Open→SP 8/14 won (57.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 25/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-12.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 309.6% • -12.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 25/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

22 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 7
09 Jun 26 | Salisbury | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 13
12 May 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 106.4% • -4.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19%)
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 28/1
22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

31 Jul 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 8
07 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 2
21 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 89.2% • -3.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 15/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: James Glennon(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (17.1%)
Early money horse (20%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

08 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
09 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 6/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
25 Mar 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 13/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 90.3% • -2.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal BetTom
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 78% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 20.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/12 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 28/1Market avg 66/1
80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

06 Jul 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 5
18 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
04 Jun 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 10
Price change: 130.3% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 17% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 59.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:52Lingfield (AW) • 6f1y • Class 6
10 runners

Trainer: William Stone
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.70pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (3/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 5/2
5/2 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.8% • +5.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Martin Keighley
Jockey: Toby Moore(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/19 won (21.1%); Open→SP 3/18 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 11/4
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ EVS ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 24.9% • -6.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.70pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/12 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (33%)
Late support match
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 30.3% • +6.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 5 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 84% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 28.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.5% • -2.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 5 runs. The current market is 32% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 16.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.93pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 2/4 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (43%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

06 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 6
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 7
25 Mar 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 12
03 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 8
14 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 70.9% • -5.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 80% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 61.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chris Gordon
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/32 won (9.4%); Open→SP 4/30 won (13.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (43%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 12/1
15/2 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 99.1% • -7.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 1/12
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 36% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Phil McEntee
Jockey: Grace McEntee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (42%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.5% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/6 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 8.9 and today's market has the horse trading 86% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12% • -0.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 7
30 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 9
02 Jan 26 | Chelmsford (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 65.9% • -2.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 210.9% • -5.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:22Lingfield (AW) • 6f1y • Class 6
9 runners

Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.96pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/18 won (22.2%); Open→SP 4/22 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (100%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.96pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 16.6% • +4.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/8
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Chelsea Banham
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/13 won (61.5%); Open→SP 8/14 won (57.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (50%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 3/1
11/4 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 18.3% • +4.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 3 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 10.7, today's price is 62% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Keady
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (50%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
4/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.4% • -2.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/178 won (32.6%); Open→SP 56/183 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43% (37/86).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
6/1 ↓ 3/10 → 3/10 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.9% • -3.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetTom
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Mark Hoad
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1
12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 28.7% • -2.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/4 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 54% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 26.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/30 won (13.3%); Open→SP 5/36 won (13.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

20 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 9
01 May 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 3
10 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
02 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 3/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 8
09 Jan 26 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 2
Price change: 71.4% • -4.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chris Gordon
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.86pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/32 won (9.4%); Open→SP 4/30 won (13.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 28.8% • -1.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Simon Hodgson
Jockey: William Carver
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.61pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/7 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (27%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.61pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
27th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

04 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 6
17 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 12
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 10/3 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 8
16 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 65.7% • -3.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 18.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (29%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Phil McEntee
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.97pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

0/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 11/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (36%)
06:22Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 25/1
18/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.97pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
27th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 6/6Historical Drift Profile

10 Jun 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 8
10 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 12
28 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 15/2 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 10
06 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 3
04 Feb 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 2/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 210% • -7.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 10/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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